Russian forces launched waves of missiles and drones at Ukraine over the past week, killing at least 28 people around Kyiv on 5 July and 22 more on 6 July, according to Reuters and the Associated Press. The Institute for the Study of War logged another Russian drone-and-missile barrage on the night of 11–12 July. The ceasefire everyone is waiting for is, as is its habit, two weeks from the next talk.

A week of strikes

Reuters reported on 5 July that Russian strikes killed 28 in the Kyiv area, with Ukraine’s air force saying it intercepted 37 other missiles and more than 90% of 351 drones used in the attack. The AP counted at least 22 dead from strikes overnight into 6 July. ISW’s 12 July assessment noted Russian drone and missile strikes against Ukraine on the night of 11 to 12 July, part of a continuing campaign.

“Every few days someone announces the war is about to pause,” said an observer who asked not to be named because he was, in fact, a radar return. “Then someone announces it isn’t. Then someone announces it is two weeks. The air-defense sirens sound either way.”

The line that holds

Ukraine has leaned on drones to blunt Russian logistics, but analysts say the systems reshape tactics without delivering a breakthrough. The front, by most accounts, has not moved much; the outcome, as always, has.

Officials dismissed the concern, noting the ceasefire is also roughly two weeks out, which they described as “a complete coincidence, redelivered nightly.”

Sources